實作範例 · Excel 分析
以 EIA 資料估算美國太陽能營運維護市場
客戶想快速由上而下估算美國公用事業規模的太陽能營運維護市場。顧問上傳 EIA 各州發電容量活頁簿,請 在同一 Excel 檔篩選太陽能市場並進行情境分析。
新增「Solar O&M」工作表,以 SUMIFS 公式篩選資料並按指示進行情境分析,繪製分析圖表,交付仍含原始 57,778 列資料的修改檔。顧問隨後要求比較較便宜的 17 美元情境,並加入德州超越加州的說明。
1上傳:EIA 各州發電容量活頁簿,共 57,778 列
- 57,778EIA 資料列,保留原樣
- $3.09bn2025 年營運維護市場,以每千瓦每年 20 美元計
- 0.0與 EIA 的 US 列相差的 MW
- 1活頁簿,請求 2 時再次修改
開啟真實檔案
EIA 原始檔連結指向官方網站。兩份活頁簿都是實際執行產物,各自包含完整 EIA 工作表,可下載並用 Excel 開啟。
檔案來源: U.S. Energy Information Administration, 各州電力資料:按能源來源、生產者類型及州分類的既有銘牌容量和夏季淨容量,1990–2025 年,源自 EIA-860 表。美國政府作品,屬公有領域。
01 · 起始檔案
一張工作表、57,778 列、兩個陷阱
「Existing Capacity」每列對應 1990 至 2025 年的一個年份、州、生產者類型和燃料。直接加總有兩個陷阱:各州的「Total Electric Power Industry」列已合計下方生產者類型,「US」列又合計各州。全數相加會把市場放大四倍。
原始檔是一般 Excel 活頁簿,不需轉換。檔案太大,無法一次讀完,因此 查找所需數值,再寫入適用於整張表的公式。
30766.8| A | B | C | D | E | F | G | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Existing Nameplate and Net Summer Capacity by Energy Source, Producer Type and State, 1990-2025 | |||||||
| 2 | Year | State Code | Producer Type | Fuel Source | Generators | Facilities | Nameplate Capacity (Megawatts) | Summer Capacity (Megawatts) |
| 3 | 1990 | AK | Combined Heat and Power, Commercial Power | All Sources | 4 | 85.9 | 80.09 | |
| … | ||||||||
| 57431 | 2025 | TX | Commercial Power | Solar Thermal and Photovoltaic | 2 | 2 | 3.1 | 3 |
| … | ||||||||
| 57439 | 2025 | TX | Electric Generators, Electric Utilities | Solar Thermal and Photovoltaic | 5 | 5 | 172 | 169 |
| … | ||||||||
| 57450 | 2025 | TX | Electric Generators, Independent Power Producers | Solar Thermal and Photovoltaic | 222 | 215 | 29853.8 | 29877.9 |
| … | ||||||||
| 57457 | 2025 | TX | Industrial Power | Solar Thermal and Photovoltaic | 8 | 4 | 737.9 | 737.9 |
| … | ||||||||
| 57468 | 2025 | TX | Total Electric Power Industry | Solar Thermal and Photovoltaic | 237 | 226 | 30766.8 | 30787.8 |
| … | ||||||||
| 57540 | 2025 | US | Total Electric Power Industry | Solar Thermal and Photovoltaic | 8012 | 7333 | 154300.6 | 153350 |
02 · 要求 1
「在這份活頁簿估算太陽能營運維護市場」
顧問輸入的內容
Quick top-down sizing of the US utility-scale solar O&M market from the attached EIA file (sheet 'Existing Capacity'). Basis: rows with Fuel Source = 'Solar Thermal and Photovoltaic' and Producer Type = 'Total Electric Power Industry', column 'Nameplate Capacity (Megawatts)'. Use state rows only; the national total should be the sum of states and should agree with EIA's 'US' row. Add a sheet 'Solar O&M' to this workbook with: 1. An input cell for O&M cost = $20 per kW-year, which all the calculations reference 2. National solar MW for 2020 and 2025, the 2020-2025 CAGR, and the 2025 O&M market in $ 3. Top 10 states by 2025 MW: state, 2020 MW, 2025 MW, 2020-25 CAGR, share of US total, O&M $m 4. A bar chart of the top 10 states' O&M $m Leave the 'Existing Capacity' sheet as it is.
的處理方式
- 先查明不同燃料來源、生產者類型和州代碼,讓篩選條件使用檔案的確切文字。
- 在同一活頁簿新增「Solar O&M」工作表,保留「Existing Capacity」原樣。
- 將每千瓦每年 20 美元的成本放在單一輸入格 B3,所有美元數值均參照它。
- 每個 MW 數值均以參照 EIA 工作表的即時 SUMIFS 公式計算:只取太陽能、全產業合計及各州。點選下方綠色儲存格即可查看。
- 新增兩列核對:2020 與 2025 年的各州合計減去 EIA 的 US 列,結果皆為 0.0。
- 建立前十州表格,含 2020 與 2025 年 MW、增長率、全國占比及營運維護費用(百萬美元),並為營運維護欄建立真正的 Excel 長條圖。
=SUMIFS('Existing Capacity'!G:G,'Existing Capacity'!A:A,2025,'Existing Capacity'!D:D,"Solar Thermal and Photovoltaic",'Existing Capacity'!C:C,"Total Electric Power Industry",'Existing Capacity'!B:B,"<>US")| A | B | C | D | E | F | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ||||||
| 2 | ||||||
| 3 | O&M cost ($/kW-year) | 20 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 | 2020 national solar MW (state sum) | 48,338.5 | ||||
| 6 | 2025 national solar MW (state sum) | 154,300.6 | ||||
| 7 | 2020 EIA US-row solar MW | 48,338.5 | ||||
| 8 | 2025 EIA US-row solar MW | 154,300.6 | ||||
| 9 | Check 2020 (state sum - US row) | 0.0 | ||||
| 10 | Check 2025 (state sum - US row) | 0.0 | ||||
| 11 | 2020-25 CAGR (national) | 26.1% | ||||
| 12 | 2025 O&M market ($) | 3,086,012,000 | ||||
| 13 | ||||||
| 14 | ||||||
| 15 | State | 2020 MW | 2025 MW | 2020-25 CAGR | Share of 2025 US total | 2025 O&M $m |
| 16 | TX | 4,879.5 | 30,766.8 | 44.5% | 19.9% | 615.3 |
| 17 | CA | 14,473.4 | 24,832.2 | 11.4% | 16.1% | 496.6 |
| 18 | FL | 3,785.1 | 12,300.6 | 26.6% | 8.0% | 246.0 |
| 19 | NC | 5,039.1 | 7,050.9 | 6.9% | 4.6% | 141.0 |
| 20 | AZ | 2,411.9 | 6,868.8 | 23.3% | 4.5% | 137.4 |
| 21 | NV | 2,517.9 | 5,479.9 | 16.8% | 3.6% | 109.6 |
| 22 | GA | 2,207.7 | 5,414.4 | 19.7% | 3.5% | 108.3 |
| 23 | VA | 1,301.0 | 5,180.3 | 31.8% | 3.4% | 103.6 |
| 24 | IN | 279.0 | 4,593.4 | 75.1% | 3.0% | 91.9 |
| 25 | OH | 112.8 | 4,486.5 | 108.9% | 2.9% | 89.7 |
| 26 | ||||||
| 27 | National total is the state sum (State Code <>US) and agrees with the EIA US row. | |||||
Top 10 states by 2025 solar O&M ($m)
我們已與 EIA 資料核對: 2025 年太陽能容量 154,300.6 MW,2020 年 48,338.5 MW,年增長率 26.1%;以 20 美元計,市場為 $3,086,012,000,前十州及排序均正確。變更輸入儲存格後,所有美元數值同步更新。EIA 工作表仍保有全部 57,780 列,未被修改。
03 · 要求 2
「加入 17 美元情境及德州說明」
顧問輸入的內容
The partner thinks $20/kW-yr is rich. On the same 'Solar O&M' sheet: 1. Add a second scenario at $17/kW-yr next to the $20 case (its own input cell), for the national total and the top-10 O&M column 2. Show the scenario in the existing bar chart 3. Add a short note under the table: Texas overtook California in 2025 - by how many MW, and what was the gap in 2024? Keep the rest of the sheet as it is.
的處理方式
- 開啟剛修改過的活頁簿,繼續在同一「Solar O&M」工作表處理。
- 在 20 美元輸入格旁新增 C3 = 17,並在 20 美元全國總額旁新增 17 美元全國總額。
- 在前十州表格新增 17 美元欄,連結至新的輸入儲存格。
- 查閱 2024 與 2025 年資料,在表格下註明:2025 年德州領先 5,934.6 MW,2024 年加州領先 97.3 MW。
- 沒有修改請求 1 的任何儲存格。我們逐格核對過。
=B6*1000*$C$3| A | B | C | D | E | F | G | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | |||||||
| 2 | $20/kW-yr case | $17/kW-yr case | |||||
| 3 | O&M cost ($/kW-year) | 20 | 17 | ||||
| 4 | |||||||
| 5 | 2020 national solar MW (state sum) | 48,338.5 | |||||
| 6 | 2025 national solar MW (state sum) | 154,300.6 | |||||
| 7 | 2020 EIA US-row solar MW | 48,338.5 | |||||
| 8 | 2025 EIA US-row solar MW | 154,300.6 | |||||
| 9 | Check 2020 (state sum - US row) | 0.0 | |||||
| 10 | Check 2025 (state sum - US row) | 0.0 | |||||
| 11 | 2020-25 CAGR (national) | 26.1% | |||||
| 12 | 2025 O&M market ($) | 3,086,012,000 | 2623110200 | ||||
| 13 | |||||||
| 14 | |||||||
| 15 | State | 2020 MW | 2025 MW | 2020-25 CAGR | Share of 2025 US total | 2025 O&M $m | 2025 O&M $m ($17/kW-yr) |
| 16 | TX | 4,879.5 | 30,766.8 | 44.5% | 19.9% | 615.3 | 523.0356 |
| 17 | CA | 14,473.4 | 24,832.2 | 11.4% | 16.1% | 496.6 | 422.1474 |
| 18 | FL | 3,785.1 | 12,300.6 | 26.6% | 8.0% | 246.0 | 209.1102 |
| 19 | NC | 5,039.1 | 7,050.9 | 6.9% | 4.6% | 141.0 | 119.8653 |
| 20 | AZ | 2,411.9 | 6,868.8 | 23.3% | 4.5% | 137.4 | 116.7696 |
| 21 | NV | 2,517.9 | 5,479.9 | 16.8% | 3.6% | 109.6 | 93.1583 |
| 22 | GA | 2,207.7 | 5,414.4 | 19.7% | 3.5% | 108.3 | 92.0448 |
| 23 | VA | 1,301.0 | 5,180.3 | 31.8% | 3.4% | 103.6 | 88.0651 |
| 24 | IN | 279.0 | 4,593.4 | 75.1% | 3.0% | 91.9 | 78.0878 |
| 25 | OH | 112.8 | 4,486.5 | 108.9% | 2.9% | 89.7 | 76.2705 |
| 26 | Texas overtook California in 2025 by about 5,935 MW (TX 30,766.8 vs CA 24,832.2, gap 5,934.6 MW) while in 2024 California still led by about 97 MW (CA 22,562.9 vs TX 22,465.6, gap 97.3 MW). | ||||||
| 27 | National total is the state sum (State Code <>US) and agrees with the EIA US row. | ||||||
我們已與 EIA 資料核對: 17 美元情境為 $2,623,110,200,20 美元情境為 $3,086,012,000;德州在 17 美元情境為 $523.0m。2025 年德州 30,766.8 MW、加州 24,832.2 MW;2024 年加州 22,562.9 MW、德州 22,465.6 MW。兩項核對均正確。
分析結果保留在客戶的活頁簿
聊天答案只給你需要重打的數字。 直接處理上傳的試算表:在實際資料列寫入公式,核對來源總計,並保留可調整的輸入值,下次情境分析只需改一格。
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